澳大利亚央行已决定,澳大利亚的官方现金利率将维持在 0.10% 的历史低位。
今天下午,澳大利亚储备银行 (RBA) 选择将利率维持在当前水平,因为该国正在努力应对多个州延长 COVID-19 封锁带来的经济影响。
维持利率的决定是在全国房地产市场继续进行出人意料的复苏之际做出的——以至于某些地区的房价正在以 33 年来的最快速度上涨。
阅读更多: 顶级经济学家发出不祥的加息警告
获得廉价信贷、住房存量延迟以及封锁一年后的囤积现金性质使许多澳大利亚人认为现在是进入市场的最佳时机。
澳大利亚央行行长菲利普·洛在其货币声明中表示,该银行正在密切关注澳大利亚房地产市场的发展轨迹。
“住房市场继续走强,所有主要市场的价格都在上涨。住房信贷增长加快,包括首次购房者在内的自住业主的需求强劲,”洛威先生说。
“投资者的借贷也有所增加。
“鉴于房价上涨和低利率的环境,央行正在密切关注住房借贷趋势,保持贷款标准很重要。”
阅读更多: 澳大利亚经济正式高于大流行前水平
AMP Capital 首席经济学家 Shane Oliver 表示,RBA 为提高利率而设定的目标仍需数年时间。
“澳大利亚央行距离满足加息条件——即通胀可持续回到 2% 至 3% 的目标范围——这将需要充分就业和工资增长可持续地超过 3%——还有很长的路要走,”奥利弗博士说。
“而最新的冠状病毒爆发和封锁可能会推迟实现其目标的进展。”
阅读更多: 现金飞溅后澳联储提前加息的风险
许多专家认为,悉尼目前的封锁措施将暂时影响房价,但广泛的上涨只是指日可待。
Finder消费者研究主管格雷厄姆库克说:“由于悉尼的人们仍然无法离开家园,未来几周房价增长将放缓。”
“对于首次购房者来说,这将是个好消息,他们已经看到市场的切入点在过去几个月加速远离他们。”
阅读更多: 在悉尼负担得起抵押贷款所需的收入
Finder 对 RBA 数据的分析显示,2021 年前五个月,总共借入了 970 亿美元用于购买房屋。
2018 年同期——早在 COVID-19 大流行之前,利率为 1.5%——同样的数字下降了 50%,为 620 亿美元。
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